Militia Man
If all you [Iraqi citizen] own is dollars and they change the value to a real effective exchange rate, back to where it was in the previous era, they say back to 1980...Sudani said the dollar is going to be weaker or he said it in a way that the dinar is going to be stronger than the dollar...That's the whole goal. You drop the three zeros from the currency, you're going to add value. That's all there is to it. That's how it works. That's just not my opinion as far as I'm concerned.
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Article: "The delete the Iraqi dinar zeros reoccurring invitation and existing challenges"
That was February 25, 2024. It's sill in the the news this year. July 26, 2023 Al-Alaq said the project still existed... Quote: "When this is done correctly we can expect Iraq to become a strong dinar that is considered a store of value and perhaps even stronger than the dinar that was before 1980." That's a pretty big deal...
Article: "Parliamentary Finance resumes its meetings regarding the budget in preparation for voting on the schedules" Quote: "Parliament decided, according to the agenda, to hold its twenty-seventh regular session next Monday..." I am not sure how long voting will take on the paragraph. But, if they are going to vote to do a budget at 1310 that would have a deficit of 64 trillion that would not be good for the people and they want to see another term in office they'll need the 3 zeros to be removed from the exchange rate. If there isn't a removal by Al-alaq they'll be in a pickle be sure.
That vote [scheduled Monday 3:00pm Baghdad time vote on the 2024 budget tables] is prior to markets opening in the United States in New York. Will they vote? Will they do it? We're going to find out.
The House of Representatives will vote next Monday on the budge schedules...We've been waiting for it... Is it important? Is it not important?----
Obviously it's a focus. Article Quote: "Mustafa ... announced the House of Representatives intends to vote on the financial budget tables for the year of 2024...It will be held at 3:00 in the afternoon on Monday."
I don't think anybody's going to be able to prove me wrong, you drop the three zeros, the exchange rate changes from 1 USD to 1.32 just like al-Sudani says. Do the math it comes out to .76, apply the real effective exchange rate and that's where the show starts big time... .76 is $0.76 - it's slightly less than the dollar.
That's value. It's not .0007 something. It's value. That's what they're talking about - Bringing value to the currency. That's what Al-Alaq is there for.
Article quote: "If we assume the Central Bank issues a new currency this will not affect the exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar."
This guy is not wrong...It won't in my view. The exchange rate will affect the new small denominations though...If they change the value of the exchange rate by dropping the three zeros, therefor the new denominations will be affected by it, which will be value. It's pretty simple.
If you raise the value of the currency it's going to have a ripple effect...Instead of being a pebble...or a brick in the pond this might be a boulder. There's going to be some waves. The World Bank, IMF, US Fed, US Treasury...Bank of International Settlements, everybody's going to need to know what you're going to do and when you're going to do it and pretty close.
They're not going to be broadcasting it like everybody thinks, 'What's the date and what's the rate?' That's not how it works. But we study it close enough to where...we can see it can't be far off...
If they're going to have liquidity and they don't have it now it's going to require new small category denominations to be in circulation. Just as al-Alaq's project to delete the zeros would require new denominations. Did they do that in 2018 and have them in storage? I believe they did...
They increased that gold supply by about 40 tons...Their currency reserves are around $110 billion. They have a massive amount of wealth. They have the ability to support their imports for about 16 months they say, which is about 5x what they need. That's important. They don't want to reduce those. They'd like to keep them on hand...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do and it'll only get better if he does.
If they change the value of their currency they're going to have more surpluses...The oil price is about $70 in the 2023 budget. That hasn't changed for '24 or '25 because that's a tripartite budget. They got a surplus. Oil is somewhere around $80. It's been as high as $91ish. The expectations of oil is to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $80/$90 and they even talk about $100/barrel...Iraq is going to be sitting pretty good...They have phosphates...sulfur...natural gas...Those non-oil revenue streams...taxes and tariffs are going to come online...Iraq has a good foundation for Alaq to do what he's supposed to do.
Iraq is moving forward. They've got huge reserves...increased their gold, they're going to have the private sector, their stock exchange is going to be one to reckon with. It's an emerging market and a lot of money is going to be start flowing...
If they go on the Forex system it's going to be international. It's going to be fast and furious.
Could they do something within the county prior to that?
Sure, why not, educate the citizens, do what they got to do...