๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ๐ธ IRAQ IS TAKING A MAJOR STEP TOWARD FULL SOVEREIGNTY
๐จ A very important development is taking place in Iraq, and the timing could not be more significant.
๐ฐ NEWS SUMMARY
The United States has told Baghdad that transparency will be critical to the success of any effort to disarm Iraq's armed factions and transfer their weapons to the central government.
Washington says it fully supports Iraq's efforts to:
๐น Disarm armed factions
๐น Transfer weapons to the central government
๐น Prevent attacks from being launched from Iraqi territory
๐น Strengthen Iraq's sovereignty
๐น Ensure that armed groups operate under state authority
This message comes as Iraq approaches the September 30 end of the U.S.-led coalition's military mission.
At the same time, concerns have increased over attacks launched from Iraqi territory, including recent drone strikes targeting a Saudi oil pipeline.
The United States has made its position clear: Iraq must retain its sovereignty and prevent Iran-aligned militias from using Iraqi territory to launch attacks against other countries.
The issue primarily involves Iran-aligned armed factions, several of which operate within Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF).
Some of these factions are resisting disarmament.
Their position is that they will continue to hold their weapons until Iraq achieves what they describe as “full sovereignty.”
And this is where the situation becomes extremely important.
๐ฎ๐ถ WHAT DOES FULL SOVEREIGNTY MEAN?
For Iraq to truly be sovereign, the central government must ultimately have authority over what happens inside Iraqi territory.
That includes:
๐ฎ๐ถ Security
๐ฎ๐ถ Borders
๐ฎ๐ถ Military decisions
๐ฎ๐ถ Weapons
๐ฎ๐ถ Armed forces
๐ฎ๐ถ National territory
This creates an important question:
How can Iraq achieve full sovereignty if armed groups outside the complete control of the state continue to possess weapons and conduct independent military operations?
That is at the heart of the current debate.
๐บ๐ธ WHY SEPTEMBER 30 MATTERS
The timing of this message from Washington is extremely important.
Iraq is approaching the end of the U.S.-led coalition's military mission on September 30.
For years, the presence of foreign military forces has been one of the arguments used by armed factions to justify maintaining weapons.
But once the coalition's military mission ends, Iraq will increasingly be expected to demonstrate that the Iraqi state itself can provide security and protect its territory.
In simple terms:
If Iraq is sovereign, Iraq must be capable of controlling Iraq.
That means preventing armed groups from independently launching attacks against neighboring countries and ensuring that military power is ultimately under the authority of the Iraqi state.
๐ MY ANALYSIS
In my opinion, this is much bigger than simply a disagreement between the United States and Iraqi militias.
This is about the future structure of the Iraqi state.
I believe Iraq is being pushed toward a model based on:
๐ฎ๐ถ One sovereign government
๐ก️ One national security structure
๐ซ One legitimate authority over weapons
⚖️ One system of law
๐ One internationally recognized authority representing Iraq
This transition will not happen overnight.
There are political, security and regional interests involved, and some factions have significant political influence.
But the direction of the pressure is becoming increasingly clear.
The Iraqi government is being asked to demonstrate that it can exercise real sovereignty, not simply declare it.
๐งฉ THIS IS PART OF A MUCH BIGGER TRANSFORMATION
This is where I believe we need to look at the bigger picture.
Iraq has been working on several major reforms at the same time:
๐ฆ Banking reform
๐ต Currency-market reform
๐ฐ Financial reform
๐ Greater transparency
๐ซ Anti-money-laundering measures
๐️ Stronger government institutions
๐ฑ Greater control over foreign-currency transactions
๐ Increased integration with the international financial system
And now we are seeing another major piece:
๐ก️ Security and sovereignty.
These areas are connected.
A country cannot fully modernize its financial system while struggling to maintain control over its own territory and security environment.
International investors, banks and governments also need confidence that the Iraqi government can enforce its laws and protect economic activity.
That is why political and security stability matter so much to Iraq's economic future.
๐ฐ WHY THIS MATTERS FOR IRAQ'S ECONOMY
Think about what international investors, banks and governments want to see:
✔️ Political stability
✔️ Security
✔️ Rule of law
✔️ Strong institutions
✔️ Control over national territory
✔️ A functioning banking system
✔️ Transparent financial channels
✔️ A stable currency market
✔️ Government control over economic policy
The stronger Iraq becomes in these areas, the stronger the foundation becomes for deeper economic integration.
And this is why I don't look at these developments individually.
I see them as pieces of the same larger transformation.
๐งฉ THE BIGGER SEQUENCE
This is how I see the process:
๐ฎ๐ถ Political stability
⬇️
๐ก️ Greater government control over security
⬇️
๐ซ Weapons increasingly brought under state authority
⬇️
๐ฎ๐ถ Greater national sovereignty
⬇️
๐ Increased international confidence
⬇️
๐ฆ Continued banking and financial reforms
⬇️
๐ต Greater control of the currency market
⬇️
๐ Reduced parallel-market distortion
⬇️
๐ฎ๐ถ A stronger and more unified Iraqi economy
This does not mean every step will happen immediately.
And it certainly does not mean that every reform automatically results in a currency revaluation.
But it does show why these developments matter.
๐ง MY VIEW ON THE IRAQI DINAR
This is where I believe the subject becomes particularly interesting.
I have always believed that the foundation has to come before the major monetary changes.
Before Iraq can realistically consider any major future change involving the value or exchange-rate structure of the dinar, it needs a much stronger foundation.
That means:
๐ฎ๐ถ Political stability
๐ก️ Security
๐ฆ Banking reform
๐ต Currency-market reform
๐ Financial transparency
๐ฑ A more unified exchange market
๐ซ A reduced or eliminated parallel market
๐️ Stronger state institutions
๐ Greater international confidence
The disarmament of armed factions does not automatically mean a dinar revaluation.
That's important.
But a stronger and more sovereign Iraqi state creates the type of environment in which major economic and monetary reforms become much more realistic.
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISTINCTION
Let's be clear:
❌ The United States has NOT announced an Iraqi dinar revaluation.
❌ Iraq has NOT announced a new exchange rate because of this development.
❌ The disarmament process is NOT complete.
❌ Some factions are still resisting.
But:
✅ The United States is openly supporting the transfer of weapons to the Iraqi government.
✅ Washington is demanding transparency.
✅ Iraq is approaching a major security transition on September 30.
✅ State control over weapons is becoming an increasingly important issue.
✅ Iraq continues working on broader financial and economic reforms.
And that is why I believe this development deserves attention.
๐ฅ THE BIGGER PICTURE
For me, the real story isn't simply about militias.
It is about who controls Iraq.
A truly sovereign Iraq needs to have control over:
๐ฎ๐ถ Its territory
๐ก️ Its security
๐ซ Its weapons
๐ฆ Its financial system
๐ต Its currency market
๐️ Its national institutions
The stronger the Iraqi state becomes, the more confidence it can build with regional partners, international governments, banks and investors.
And that confidence can help support the broader transformation Iraq is trying to achieve.
๐ฎ๐ถ MY BOTTOM LINE
I believe this is another important piece of the Iraqi transformation that we need to watch closely.
The banking reforms are one piece.
The financial reforms are another.
The currency-market reforms are another.
Reducing the parallel market is another.
And strengthening state control over weapons and security is another.
Together, these reforms point toward the same objective:
๐ฎ๐ถ A stronger, more sovereign, more stable and more internationally integrated Iraq.
๐ฅ The September 30 transition could be an important milestone.
The real test will be what happens afterward.
Can Baghdad demonstrate that the Iraqi state—not independent armed factions—is ultimately in control?
If Iraq can make meaningful progress in that direction, it would represent a major step forward for the country's political, security and economic future.
And from my perspective, that is exactly the kind of foundation Iraq needs before it can take any major future steps involving its financial system or currency.
⚠️ Again, this is not a prediction of an imminent dinar revaluation.
It is about the foundation being built first.
Because before you can change the value of a currency, you need confidence in the country, confidence in the institutions, confidence in the financial system and confidence in the stability of the market.
๐ฎ๐ถ๐ต The foundation matters.
And what Iraq builds today could determine what becomes possible tomorrow.
๐ Watch September 30. Watch the security transition. Watch the reforms. Watch the currency market.
The next phase of Iraq's transformation could be very important.
๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฅ Iraq is working to become not only more financially integrated, but more sovereign, more stable and more capable of controlling its own future.
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US urges transparency in Iraq faction disarmament
2026-09-14 14:14
Shafaq News- Baghdad
Washington has told Baghdad that transparency with the United States and regional partners will be critical to the success of any effort to disarm Iraq's armed factions and transfer their weapons to the central government, a US official told Shafaq News.
The message comes as Iraq approaches the September 30 end of the US-led coalition's military mission and amid heightened concern over attacks launched from Iraqi territory, most recently drone strikes on a Saudi oil pipeline that Riyadh said resulted in casualties and forced a temporary shutdown.
Read more: Iraq factions resist disarmament as coalition exit nears
"The United States has been clear with Iraq that it is critical that they retain their sovereignty and prevent attacks from within its borders by Iranian-backed militias," the official said. Washington "fully supports disarmament and transfer of arms to the central government," he added, calling transparency with the United States and regional partners about how the process is conducted "critical to success."
The dispute centers on Iran-aligned armed factions, several of which operate within the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). Al-Zaidi has linked efforts to bring faction weapons under state control to the coalition's withdrawal, arguing that the departure of foreign troops would remove one of the groups' principal justifications for remaining armed.
Some factions reject that sequence, saying they will hold their weapons until Iraq secures “full sovereignty.”
https://www.shafaq.com/en/Iraq/US-urges-transparency-in-Iraq-faction-disarmament