POLITICAL ANALYST: THE SUDANESE CANDIDATE IS THE MOST LIKELY TO WIN A SECOND TERM AFTER RECENT POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS.
Political analyst Haider Al-Humaidawi confirmed that Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani’s chances of renewing his term have become the highest at the present stage, in light of the recent political data and internal and external positions related to the file of the next government’s leadership.
Al-Humaidawi said that the political indicators circulating suggest that Al-Sudani has the best chance of leading the government again, especially after the messages that spoke of an American position that was not encouraging for the return of former Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki to the position, despite him being one of the most prominent competitors for the premiership.
He added that these developments also coincided with the clarification issued by the head of the Supreme Judicial Council, Faiq Zaidan, regarding the issue of the “largest bloc,” and the constitutional and political discussions it raised about the mechanisms for forming the next government.
Al-Humaidawi explained that there are other political factors within the coordination framework that enhance Al-Sudani’s chances, noting that some key forces within the coalition have expressed clear reservations about nominating Al-Maliki for the premiership.
He explained that the Sadiqun bloc and the Hikma movement expressed an unenthusiastic stance towards Maliki’s return to the premiership, which, according to his assessment, strengthens the chances of Sudani remaining in office during the next phase.
Al-Humaidawi pointed out that these political indicators make Al-Sudani, in his estimation, the closest candidate to lead the next government by a percentage of up to about 90%, especially in light of the efforts of the Coordination Framework forces to maintain the cohesion of the alliance and avoid entering into an early conflict over the position of Prime Minister.
He concluded by saying that current data suggests that al-Sudani may be “the man of the next phase,” unless new political changes occur that reshuffle the cards within political alliances before the upcoming elections.