Monday, February 2, 2026

JEFF: The “Kuwait Syndrome”: Why Iraq’s RV Can’t Be Telegraphed Before It Happens

 Featured Snippet

The “Kuwait Syndrome” explains why Iraq cannot openly signal a currency revaluation before it happens. Final OFAC sanctions must be reviewed quietly, while public instability masks preparations for Iraq’s return to international markets.


Introduction: The RV Was Never Going to Be Announced Ahead of Time

One of the biggest misconceptions in the RV community is the belief that governments will telegraph a currency revaluation before it happens.

According to Jeff, that idea ignores historical precedent — especially what happened with Kuwait.

This is what he calls “The Kuwait Syndrome.”


What Is the “Kuwait Syndrome”?

The Kuwait Syndrome refers to a strategic pattern used when a country is preparing for a major currency value change:

  • No advance warning

  • No positive media signals

  • No public confirmation of readiness

Why?

Because you cannot lift final sanctions or raise a currency value while signaling it publicly.

Jeff was very clear:

“Hell no they’re not going to tell you they’re pulling the final OFAC sanctions.”


OFAC & U.S. Treasury: The Final Gatekeepers

The last remaining sanctions on Iraq fall under:

  • OFAC

  • U.S. Treasury

These are the final barriers preventing Iraq from:

  • Increasing its currency value

  • Going fully international

What’s Really Happening Right Now?

Behind the scenes:

  • Iraq is under active review

  • Authorities are determining if Iraq is worthy of lifting final sanctions

  • This review is a prerequisite to any rate increase

Publicly:

  • Media highlights instability

  • News emphasizes political uncertainty

  • Security concerns are amplified

This contrast is intentional.


Why the News Looks Negative on Purpose

Jeff explained a critical point many overlook:

“They can’t give you clues the rate is about to go up in value.”

If Iraq were portrayed as:

  • Stable

  • Secure

  • Fully functional

…it would signal currency movement, which is exactly what they must avoid.

Instability in the news = cover, not failure.


Following Actions, Not Headlines

Jeff emphasized that the RV is not understood by headlines, but by actions:

  • Quiet sanction reviews

  • Continued international coordination

  • Central bank readiness

  • Government formation pressure

When you follow what they do, not what they say, the picture becomes clearer.


Government Formation: Past the Constitutional Deadline

Iraq has now exceeded its constitutional timeline.

Key Facts:

  • Government formation includes 4 steps

  • The Presidency vote is Step 2

  • The constitutional deadline was 30 days

  • That deadline expired Wednesday the 28th

This puts Iraq officially past its constitutional window — a position that increases external pressure.


Sudani vs. Maliki: Why the Outcome Was Never Random

Jeff has consistently stated:

“Maliki is not going to get this. It will be Sudani.”

Although Maliki was initially portrayed as the top pick, external forces intervened.


The Trump Factor: A Strategic Roadblock

According to Jeff, Donald Trump stepped in directly:

“You put Maliki in and we’re done helping you 100%.”

That message:

  • Placed a roadblock in front of Iraq

  • Froze momentum

  • Threw the process into limbo

This wasn’t political theater — it was leverage.


Why This Matters for the RV

Maliki is widely viewed as:

  • Anti-reform

  • Resistant to currency change

  • A threat to international confidence

Sudani, on the other hand:

  • Aligns with reform

  • Keeps international support intact

  • Maintains the path toward sanction removal

The RV cannot proceed without trust.


Q&A Section (SEO Optimized)

What is the Kuwait Syndrome?

It’s a strategy where governments hide positive currency developments behind negative media to prevent speculation before a revaluation.

Are OFAC sanctions the last ones on Iraq?

Yes. They are the final major sanctions preventing Iraq from increasing its currency value and going international.

Is Iraq past its constitutional deadline?

Yes. The 30-day period to complete the presidential step expired on Wednesday the 28th.

Why won’t Maliki become Prime Minister?

According to Jeff, international pressure—especially from the U.S.—has blocked Maliki due to his anti-reform reputation.

Does political instability mean the RV is dead?

No. Public instability often masks private financial readiness.


Final Thoughts: Silence Doesn’t Mean Failure

The absence of confirmation is not a sign of defeat.

It’s a sign of:

  • Strategic timing

  • International coordination

  • Final-stage preparation

The Kuwait Syndrome only makes sense once you understand it.


Important Disclaimer

All content discussed reflects opinion only and is for general and educational purposes.
Nothing shared should be considered financial, legal, or professional advice.
Always consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.


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Jeff  

 Let's get into the 'Kuwait Syndrome' aspect of this.  Can they tell you before the rate changes that they're going to flat out pull the OACT sanctions...?  Those are the last, final, remaining sanctions on Iraq...Hell no they're not going to do that...Here's what they're doing. 

 They're reviewing Iraq right now to make sure they're worthy of lifting the last final remaining OFAC/UNTreasury sanctions so they can increase the currency value and go international.  But what they're portraying in the news is instability and insecurity.  They can't give you clues the rate is about to go up in value. This is the Kuwait Syndrome...When you follow the facts through the means of their actions you can gauge this so much better and accurately...

They're past their constitutional period right now, the 30-day mark, of voting on and completing the step of the president, which is step two out of four within their government formation.  Their constitutional period reached its deadline as of Wednesday the 28th.  

They're now past that...When the formation of the government started, I told you Maliki is not going to get this.  It will be Sudani...They stated [Maliki] is the top pick but Trump's got some big cojones and came forward saying, 'Hey, Iraq, you put Maliki in and we're done helping you 100%....Trump put a roadblock right in front of them...and it's in limbo.