Thursday, June 20, 2024

"SUMMARY OF RV UPDATES" BY MILITIAMAN, 21 JUNE

 Militia Man 

 Article:  "The Iraqi government is currently weighing the question of changing the currency so the official cost of the US dollar will be 1.32 Iraqi dinars instead of 1320.  Implementing such a decision is likely significantly increase Al-Sudani's popularity."  That was March 11, 2024.

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Article:  "Iraq is preparing to establish a project that will change the oil map.. Will it affect energy producers?"  Quote: "Included the project of this new pipeline with an estimated amount of 6.5 billion dinars or $4.9 billion."  Think about what they just said, 6.5 billion Iraqi dinar equates to $4.9 billion...It is like saying the dinar is worth 1.32 to $0.76...That to me will be considered a REER.

All we're looking for now, to some degree, is when are they going show these amendments to be law.  We heard different things about the president having to sign, not sign, we have 15 days time frames and people are debating on when that time frame starts - was it June 3rd or was it the day he received it?  Do we know the exact day he received it?  I don't.   But we know our time is short...Once the amendments are passed into law, we'd like to think that prior to that they're going to expose the new real effective exchange rate and probably mention they've done the project to delete the zeros which get you the nominal effective exchange rate. 

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 If they have a real effective exchange rate like al-Sudani said, that the dinar is going to be stronger than the dollar, the parallel market goes away...Obviously the stronger the currency is the cheaper it is for Iraq to do what they need to do.   It's a no-brainer.  It's that simple.

The black market is going to exist if the United States dollar is less than the Iraqi dinar...There's not much demand for the dollar now...They've got it under control.  Is it showtimeI sure hope so.

 I don't care if you've been in this for 20 years.  What we're seeing now is completely different.  It's a progression.  Some people don't like the progression.  They just want it to be over and done. Welcome to the club.

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You kind of need the IMF article VIII compliance and that's what we're waiting for which is a real effective exchange rate.  I think these guys are about ready to expose that.  I think al-Sudani...Alaq from the Central Bank of Iraq all of them have this in their eyes to see this come to fruition and very quickly...

Anybody going with Sudani is going against the mafias and going against those that are going to have their dollar auctions dry up.  

They're going..FOR READ MORE:

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/06/rv-update-by-militiaman-10-june.html

Anybody going with Sudani is going against the mafias and going against those that are going to have their dollar auctions dry up.  
They're going to have lots of different little things happen to them that are going to be painful.   Anybody that's holding the dollar when they change the exchange rate...those exchange companies, 197 banks that got tagged by the central bank...
they're going to have a painful experience because if you're no...FOR READ MORE:https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/06/rv-update-by-militiaman-10-june.html

----https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/06/summary-of-militiaman-13-june.html

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