CHANNEL8
Tasnim News Agency reported that Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, heading a high-level parliamentary delegation, will discuss regional developments and strengthen cooperation between Tehran and Baghdad with senior Iraqi officials and leaders.
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🇮🇶🔥 IRAN, IRAQ & THE BREAKING POINT: WHAT IS REALLY AT STAKE?
📰 NEWS SUMMARY
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of Iran’s Parliament, is heading a high-level parliamentary delegation to Baghdad to meet with senior Iraqi officials and leaders.
The stated objective is to discuss regional developments and strengthen cooperation between Tehran and Baghdad.
📌 But the timing of this visit is what immediately catches my attention.
Iraq is approaching September 30, the date by which armed militias operating outside state control are expected to move toward disarmament and dissolution.
And now, precisely during this critical period, Tehran is increasing its political engagement with Baghdad. 🇮🇷👀🇮🇶
🇮🇷 ARE WE WATCHING A DESPERATE IRAN?
This is where the analysis begins.
We cannot state as a proven fact that Ghalibaf’s visit is intended to prevent the disarmament of the militias. Additional evidence would be required to establish that.
But the timing is impossible to ignore.
A genuine reduction of the armed structures of pro-Iranian factions inside Iraq would also mean a reduction of one of Tehran’s major mechanisms of political influence inside Iraq.
So the question becomes:
👉 Is Iran trying to preserve its political influence in Baghdad while Iraq prepares to reduce the influence of the militias?
🧩 AND THIS IS WHERE AL-MALIKI ENTERS THE PICTURE...
If we look at the situation from this perspective, the political role of figures historically aligned with Iran becomes even more important.
The issue is not simply WHO holds a political position.
The bigger question is:
❗WHO WILL HAVE INFLUENCE OVER THE CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH THE DISARMAMENT TAKES PLACE?
Because there is a massive difference between:
🔴 REAL DISARMAMENT:
Weapons are placed under the exclusive control of the Iraqi state and autonomous armed structures disappear.
🟡 A “COSMETIC” DISARMAMENT:
The same structures retain influence, resources and political leverage, but operate under a different name or institutional formula.
That distinction could be critical for Iraq’s political future.
💥 REMEMBER WHAT THE CBI CONTACT SAID
I want everyone to remember something we discussed previously.
According to the information from the CBI Contact, Iranian influence inside Iraq would be a determining factor in whether the “Delete the Zeros” project can move forward.
The message was clear:
🇮🇶 IRAQ MUST ELIMINATE IRANIAN INFLUENCE BEFORE THE DELETE THE ZEROS PROJECT CAN BE ACTIVATED.
⚠️ This is NOT a public statement from the CBI. It should be understood as information attributed to the CBI Contact and something we continue to watch and compare against public developments.
But now...
LOOK AT THE BIGGER PICTURE.
🧩 THE PIECES MAY BE CONNECTING
If we temporarily accept that information as one piece of the puzzle, the sequence becomes extremely interesting:
🇮🇷 REDUCTION OF IRANIAN INFLUENCE
⬇️
🪖 DISARMAMENT / DISSOLUTION OF MILITIAS
⬇️
🇮🇶 GREATER SOVEREIGNTY OF THE IRAQI STATE
⬇️
🔒 LESS EXTERNAL INTERFERENCE
⬇️
🏦 POLITICAL CONDITIONS FOR STRATEGIC REFORMS
⬇️
💵 DELETE THE ZEROS
Does this guarantee that this exact sequence will happen?
NO.
But if what the CBI Contact said is accurate, then the events we are watching could be far more important than they appear on the surface.
👀 NOW ALL EYES ARE ON AL-ZAIDI
For me, this is THE REAL POINT OF OBSERVATION.
What will Al-Zaidi do?
If he keeps the September 30 timeline firm, insists that weapons truly come under state control, and rejects formulas that simply change the name of the militias...
🔥 THAT WOULD BE A VERY IMPORTANT SIGNAL.
But if we begin to see:
❌ Delays
❌ Exceptions
❌ New “integration” formulas
❌ Parallel structures
❌ Agreements allowing factions to retain autonomy
❌ Political concessions preserving Iranian influence
then we have to ask whether we are witnessing precisely the “cosmetic disarmament” we have been talking about.
🎯 THE BIG QUESTION
Is Iran simply strengthening normal cooperation with Iraq?
Or is Tehran attempting to preserve its political influence in Baghdad before Iraq reaches the breaking point?
And most importantly:
🇮🇶🔥 WILL AL-ZAIDI HAVE THE POLITICAL STRENGTH TO SAY “NO” TO THAT PRESSURE?
Because if what the CBI Contact said is correct, the Iranian issue may be much more than geopolitics.
💥 IT COULD BE DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO THE CONDITIONS REQUIRED TO MOVE FORWARD WITH DELETE THE ZEROS.
That is why we watch.
NO RUMORS.
NO EUPHORIA.
FACTS. 👀
🇮🇶💪 IRAQ FIRST.
📌 X (TWITTER): https://x.com/DinarWatchTeam
📌 BLUESKY: https://bsky.app/profile/dinaresgurus.bsky.social
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