Thursday, February 6, 2025

AJ: I got alot of question about the Kurdistan salaries now getting paid., 6 FEB

 AJ

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I got alot of question about the Kurdistan salaries now getting paid. So I did a outline to highligh the key points of the decades long dispute between the Federal Gov. Baghdad and Kurdistan Erbil. Oil Revenue Dispute Between Baghdad and Erbil - Key Points: Production Costs Comparison: Basra Oil: Production costs in Basra, where most of Iraq's oil is sourced, hover around $6 per barrel. This is due to the ease of extraction from vast, onshore fields and established infrastructure. Kurdistan Oil: The cost for Kurdish oil is set at $16 per barrel, reflecting higher operational costs due to geographical challenges, security concerns, and less developed infrastructure. This price also incorporates transportation costs to get the oil to market via Turkey. Federal Revenue Loss: The Iraqi federal government claims a significant loss in revenue because Kurdistan has been exporting oil independently through a pipeline to Turkey, rather than through the State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO). This bypass has led to Baghdad losing control over these revenues, which are estimated at around $14 million daily at one point, although this number can fluctuate with oil prices and export volumes. Salary Delays: The dispute directly affects salary payments in Kurdistan. Since the KRG was not sending its oil through SOMO, Baghdad withheld the region's share of the federal budget, which includes funds for salaries. This has resulted in chronic delays, with civil servants sometimes waiting months for their wages, severely impacting their livelihoods. 2014 International Arbitration Ruling: In a significant legal development, a 2014 international arbitration case concluded in 2023 with the International Court of Arbitration ruling that Turkey must pay Iraq's federal government around $1.5 billion. This was due to Turkey's role in facilitating Kurdish oil exports without Baghdad's approval, which was seen as a breach of a 1973 pipeline agreement. Recent Agreements: A new deal has been struck where Kurdish oil will now be exported under SOMO's oversight at $16 per barrel. This is intended to normalize the situation by ensuring these revenues enter the federal budget, from which salary payments can be made. Geographical Context: Basra is located on the shores of the Persian Gulf, providing direct access to one of the world's busiest shipping routes, thus lower transportation costs. Kurdistan, landlocked, relies on pipelines through Turkey for oil exports, increasing both the cost and logistical complexity. Economic Impact: The financial strain isn't just on Kurdistan; the broader Iraqi economy feels the impact as well, since national budget planning relies on predictable oil revenues. The dispute has also led to investor uncertainty, affecting economic development in both regions. Political Implications: This ongoing saga reflects deeper issues of autonomy, federalism, and resource control in Iraq. It's not just about economics but also about the balance of power between Baghdad and Erbil. The hope is that recent agreements and the arbitration ruling will stabilize the situation, ensuring timely salary payments and restoring a more integrated approach to Iraq's oil wealth.
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