Wednesday, September 11, 2024

DINAR REVALUATION REPORT: The Dual Exchange Rate System in Iraq and Its Connection to Corruption, 11 SEPT

 The Dual Exchange Rate System in Iraq and Its Connection to Corruption

Iraq's dual exchange rate system, characterized by an official rate set by the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) and a parallel market rate, has been a significant factor in the country's ongoing economic challenges.  This system creates a fertile ground for corruption, as the disparity between the two rates can be exploited for personal gain, often by those with political connections or access to privileged information.

The dual exchange rate system operates in a way that allows individuals or entities with access to the official rate to buy US dollars at a cheaper price and then sell them at the higher market rate, pocketing the difference.  This arbitrage opportunity, exacerbated by the volatility and depreciation of the Iraqi Dinar (IQD), has become a breeding ground for illicit activities, including money laundering, smuggling, and embezzlement.

Corruption in the Dual Rate System

Access to the Official Rate

Individuals and companies with connections to the government or the CBI often gain preferential access to the official exchange rate. This access can be used to acquire US dollars at the lower official rate and then sell them on the parallel market at a higher rate, a practice known as "dollar flipping".   The significant markup between the two rates can result in substantial profits, often at the expense of the Iraqi economy and the public.

Smuggling and Illicit Transactions

The dual rate system has also facilitated the smuggling of dollars out of Iraq, particularly to neighboring countries like Iran, to avoid sanctions or for other illicit purposes.  This activity not only depletes Iraq's foreign currency reserves but also contributes to the volatility of the IQD and undermines the effectiveness of the government's anti-corruption efforts.

Embezzlement and Misuse of Public Funds

The depreciation of the IQD following the implementation of global procedural requirements for cross-border payments by the CBI in mid-November 2022 led to a significant supply-demand mismatch for US dollars, causing the market price of the IQD to depreciate.  This situation was further exacerbated by the embezzlement of 3.7 trillion Iraqi dinars (about $2.5 billion) from the General Commission of Taxes’ bank accounts, illustrating how corruption and mismanagement of public funds can be closely tied to the dual exchange rate system.

Anti-Corruption Efforts and the Dual Rate System

The Iraqi government and the CBI have introduced a series of measures aimed at creating domestic demand for the IQD and accelerating the adoption of banking in the Iraqi economy.  These measures are crucial steps toward de-dollarization and reducing the dominance of cash transactions that facilitate corruption. However, given the entrenched nature of corruption within Iraq's economic and political systems, the full effectiveness of these reforms is likely to take several years to materialize.

Conclusion

Iraq's dual exchange rate system has become a significant enabler of corruption, providing opportunities for those with access to the official rate to benefit at the expense of the broader economy and society. Addressing this issue requires not only economic reforms but also a robust anti-corruption strategy that targets the root causes of corruption within Iraq's political and economic structures.


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