Thursday, March 7, 2024

"RV UPDATE: " FREEDOM OF MOVEMENT OF CAPITAL" IS IMPORTANT" BY PAULETTE, 8 MARCH

PAULETTE 

IMO......All the articles say they have legislation that needs to be passed and the next meeting is in the "middle of the year......

My understanding is that Frank has also said that the rate doesn't matter but "freedom of movement of capital" is important.  That is Article 8 compliance.  They cannot be Article 8 compliant if the country is functioning under a MCP.  A MCP includes a parallel rate of greater than 2% of the official rate by IMF definition.  Saleh said last year that the parallel rate is "REQUIRED" to be 2% or less of the official rate.  We were taught here years ago that this 2% or less needs to be maintained for a period of 90 days.  The parallel rate is still around 14% difference.

While Iraq appears to be on the way to a full RI, I believe there will be an interim step very soon.  If they make the move I anticipate the MCP will be quickly eliminated and they can proceed to a full RI.

A RI is full Article 8 compliance and a return to the rate that reflects the True Value.  In 2009, the MOP/MOF stated move to 1.14-1.17USD/IQD and monitor for inflation up to 3 years and then move the rate to reflect the True Value of 3.208USD/IQD.  This was the plan of Dr S and it appears they are back on track following that plan.  Keep in mind that Ernst & Young stated $1.30 in 2010 and the SIGIR report stated that had the project to Delete the Zeros not been postponed, the IQD would have been brought on par with the USD.

I hope that helps

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