Saturday, January 27, 2024

"RV UPDATE" BY SANDY INGRAM, 27 JAN

 Sandy 

  As investors we have a vested interest in the country's we-being... [US Pentagon Official Statement about Iraq quote] "Let me be clear, the HCM meeting is not a negotiation about the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq.  

The Untied States and the coalition are in Iraq at the invitation of the Iraqi government to fight ISIS.  Our Iraqi partners have assured us of their commitment towards working together to shape this future on US military presence and the enduring defeat of ISIS."

[The Development Road Project]

 is major, let me explain why - This is going to change ports of call and the international shipping routes...The Suez Canal route is 6,400 miles, 14 days and cost $4.5 billion per day...The Development Road Project is...only 745 miles...That means the costs drop dramatically if you put the shipment on trucks or rail...Once you get into the Mediterranean Sea you can deliver your shipment to anywhere in Europe.  That is the importance of this Development Road Project...'There are 4 major reasons Kuwait, Iraq’s next-door neighbor has the strongest currency in the world…Kuwait dinar is $3.36…


1. Major exporter of oil. Kuwait is estimated to hold 10% of the world’s oil reserves. The tiny country has a population of 4.3 million people vs Iraq who has approximately 43 million people and a lot more oil than Kuwait.

2. Kuwait has an excellent reinvestment of oil revenue. Kuwait uses its oil revenue to build infrastructure and develop microeconomic sectors to increase its GDP. 

3.  Kuwait is tax free. Being a tax-free country enables the GDP to be higher and it just makes everyone happier not to have to pay taxes.  Since May of 2007 the Kuwaiti dinar (KWD) is pegged to an undisclosed basket of currencies…

4.  This is good news for some of you and not good news for others…Kuwaiti currency is scarce.  It is very difficult to get your hands on a Kuwaiti dinar unless you are inside of the country…Being scarce when it comes to currency is a good thing


https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2024/01/rv-update-by-sandy-ingram-17-jan_02043811509.html

 The Iraqi dinar is not on the Forex market, yet.  The Iraqi dinar is an exotic currency, as is the Vietnam dong... Currencies are traded in pairs on the Forex Market.

  The 3 main types... majors, minors and exotics...The more liquid an asset the easier and more efficient it is to turn it back into cash.  Major currency pairs have the highest trading volume... Exotic currencies...are not traded that often.  There is little technical analysis or data available to support trading decisions for exotic currencies...

People have been asking, 'Why is the Iraqi dinar one rate in Iraq and a different rate online...?'  There are two major reasons for the different rates.  1. The Iraqi government imposes strict currency controls to limit the flow of dinars out of the country.  This creates a dual exchange rate system:  Official rate - fixed rate imposed by the Central Bank of Iraq...Market Rate - Freely fluctuating rate is used for private transactions and most imports... 2.  The IQD is not widely traded internationally ...Limited demand for dinars outside Iraq weakens its value on

the international market.  But...they are now saying speculation about a potential revaluation of the Iraqi dinar sometimes influences online prices... Speculation investors, that's us.  We are causing fluctuations in the currency value...

In January 2024 foreign currencies will no longer be allowed inside Iraq and any violations will be criminalized.  The Iraqi dinar will be used for all transitions. 

Why are we seeing reports of a meeting with the IMF in Jordan and a meeting with the Department of the Treasury and the US Federal Reserve in Dubai?  ...The meeting with the IMF had to do with the IMF staff team helping the Iraqi authorities reform the banking system... 

This meeting more than any other tells us Iraq may be preparing to join the global financial network, aka Forex Market...Here's the bottom line.  Iraq has never really been on the Forex market.  These reports IMPLY Iraq is headed in the direction of international currency inclusion while using its own currency for transactions within th country beginning January 1, 2024. 
 

A drone attack on a military base hosting US troops near Erbil in northern Iraq...caused casualties...Iran-backed militants claimed responsibility for the attacks...The attacks occurred on December 25th.

  Inflation...political stability... balance of payment...national debt...recession - each of these seven categories helps determine the currency rate of any country...We want to wish each of you a happy holiday..

Article:  "Iraq links Baghdad US embassy attackers to security services"  

The attacks against US forces have continued.  The Iraqi government said several people who are alleged to have attacked the US embassy in Iraq last week have links to the country security services...

Article: "Iraqi council elections: Almost 17 million voters head to polls on Monday"

  Iraqis have begun voting for the first time in a decade to select new provincial council members who in turn will appoint governors...results are expected to be announced on Tuesday.  

   Iraq cuts oil production by 223,000 barrels per day voluntarily.   Iraq is over 90% dependent on oil revenue and oil prices, therefore when OPEC speaks we listen and we listen very carefully, almost as carefully as when the CBI makes and announcement.

https://dinarevaluation.blogspot.com/2023/12/rv-update-by-sandy-ingram-sheila-18-dec.html

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