American Strikes in Iraq: A Shift in US-Iran Conflict?
The recent American strikes against Hezbollah Brigades positions in Iraq, particularly in Jurf al-Sakhar and north-west of Baghdad, have ignited a flurry of political activity and speculation. According to a political researcher who spoke to “Asharq Al-Awsat”, these strikes may be indicative of a restructuring and rebalancing of the US-Iran conflict dynamic within Iraq, which had been witnessing a breach that needs recalibration. The strikes have been greeted with condemnations from the federal government and most Shiite parties and factions, fueling fears of Iraq being dragged into a new cycle of warfare.
The Coordination Framework’s Statement
The Coordination Framework, which represents the majority of Shiite forces excluding the Sadrist movement, issued a statement hinting at a desire to maintain amicable relations with Washington. The statement underscored the defined roles of international coalition forces under Iraqi law and condemned any actions beyond combating ISIS remnants as serious violations. The group also appreciated the government’s efforts to protect diplomatic missions and enforce the law.
A Shift in American Strategy
Dr. Ghazi Faisal, head of the Center for Strategic Studies, perceives a shift in American strategy from deterring to attacking militias linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. His interpretation is backed by US sources, which claim the recent strikes were a reaction to over 60 attacks by these factions on US personnel in Iraq and Syria since the Gaza war commenced in early October. Faisal warns that if these militias intensify their operations, the US might escalate to a full confrontation, possibly targeting militia leaders akin to the assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani and the deputy head of the PMU, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, three years ago.
Adjusting the US-Iran Conflict Balance
Political analyst Ahmed Al-Yasiri views the American strikes as a measure to readjust the US-Iran conflict balance in Iraq, rather than a reaction to the Gaza war’s expansion. Al-Yasiri warns that a failure to respond could embarrass the Biden administration, which has recently seen a setback in polls. He predicts a highly tense period ahead, with Washington eager to keep Israeli involvement minimal to contain the Gaza war.
Temporary Truce between Hamas and Israel
In related news, Mahmoud al-Mardawi, a leader in Hamas, confirmed that mediators in the temporary truce with Israel have pledged that Israel will not re-arrest the released Palestinians once Hamas releases their captives. The truce also involves the entry of food, medical supplies, and fuel into the region, along with the prisoner exchange.
https://bnn.network/world/us/american-strikes-in-iraq-a-shift-in-us-iran-conflict/
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