Thursday, February 27, 2025
THE DOLLAR DECLINES IN IRAQ.. STABILITY OR TEMPORARY CALM?, 27 FEB
THE DOLLAR DECLINES IN IRAQ.. STABILITY OR TEMPORARY CALM?
Today, Tuesday, the local Iraqi markets witnessed a noticeable decline in the exchange rate of the dollar against the dinar, as the selling price fell to 149,750 dinars for every 100 dollars, while the buying price reached 147,750 dinars.
This decline comes after months of volatility, as the dollar exceeded the 150,000 dinar barrier for a long time, raising widespread concerns about its impact on prices and inflation in the country.
What are the reasons for the decline?
There are several factors that may be behind this decline, most notably:
✅ The measures of the Central Bank of Iraq aimed at controlling the exchange rate, by tightening control over dollar transfers and reducing reliance on the black market.
✅ Recent government moves to combat financial speculation and take steps to control the flow of dollars in official markets.
✅ Improvement in the flow of dollars through official channels, following agreements between Iraq and international financial institutions.
Will this decline continue?
Despite the current decline, the most important question remains: Will we witness real stability in exchange rates? Or is this decline merely a temporary decline due to immediate measures? Previous experiences indicate that the exchange rate is affected by many factors, including the political situation, cash flows, and US measures against banks accused of currency smuggling.
Implications for markets and prices
Any decline in the dollar price is expected to contribute to a decline in the prices of imported goods, especially food, medicine and electronics, but the question remains: Will this decline be reflected quickly in the markets? Or will traders continue to price according to previous prices to achieve greater profits?
Conclusion
The dollar breaking the 150,000 dinar barrier for the first time in months is a positive development, but it does not necessarily mean that the crisis is over. The matter remains subject to the ability of the government and the Central Bank to maintain this stability and prevent speculation that may return the dollar to its upward path again. Is this decline the beginning of an economic breakthrough, or just a temporary break before a new wave of increases?
TIDBIT FROM MNT GOAT, 27 FEB
Mnt Goat
This process has to change and the dinar has to get off this sole de facto peg to the U.S. dollar. This is the solution! That is the only way out of this mess in Iraq.
They must go to a “basket of currencies” of developed countries as the IMF and the World Bank recommended for Iraq way back in 2011. In 2012-2013, the then director of the CBI, Dr Shabibi was going to revert to this basket of currencies which would have allowed the dinar to be reinstated.
Of course, his plan was first going to conduct the Project to Delete the Zeros.
PARLIAMENTARY WEALTH REVEALS WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SUSPENDING THE OIL AND GAS LAW, 27 FEB
PARLIAMENTARY WEALTH REVEALS WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SUSPENDING THE OIL AND GAS LAW
Member of the Parliamentary Oil, Gas and Resources Committee, Basem Al-Gharibawi, revealed today, Sunday, who is responsible for obstructing the legislation of the Oil and Gas Law, stressing that the region’s failure to comply is delaying the legislation of the law.
Al-Gharibawi said in a statement to / Al-Maalouma / agency, that “the political dispute between Baghdad and Erbil is obstructing the legislation of the Oil and Gas Law.
(Da….no kidding!!! 😊)
”He added that “passing the law is subject to political consensus,” noting that “some points need political understandings within the State Administration Coalition.”
He pointed out that “there is a real will among the political forces to legislate the law,” stressing that “Iraq’s oil is one and indivisible, whether in the Kurdistan Region, the center or the south.”
STATUS OF THE RV . PART. 3 BY MNT GOAT, 27 FEB
STATUS OF THE RV . PART. 3
What new event then will they migrate to and use to keep the hype going?
I hope all my blog readers can realize what is going on with these budget tables and the misperception after misperception of the importance of these tables and how they are used.
So, what the hell are these budget tables anyhow and why are they actually important to Iraq (not us investors)?
They are important because they represent how the money in the budget is to be distributed to the provinces for projects.
This is where the projects are outlined and budgeted for. Why in hell would they have an RV rate in them? The cost of these budgets is based on the price of a barrel of oil. This is the money flow of revenues for Iraq.
It still consists of 90% of their revenues. Yes, I do agree there are issues with still using this method of determining the budget funding since Iraq is now fully out of UN Chapter VII sanctions and it is time to change this process. What is taking them so long?
Yes, someday this process of how they determine the amount of money they can spend on the budget may change.
But for now, Iraq still uses the oil revenues (price of oil) to determine it. Remember Steve Forbes and his presentation I showed you in a couple of my more recent Newsletters? What did he tell us?
Forbes told us if you want to focus on the health of an economy (inflation and employment) do not go to the price of oil, instead you must focus on the stability of the currency. It’s all about the currency.
So, the entire idea of pegging the Iraqi dinar solely to the U.S. Dollar from oil sales is a major part of the problem with the stability of the Iraqi dinar.
Forbes is very specific about not using the price of oil to determine you economic growth. Get it? Using oil as a gauge is now the problem not the solution for Iraq. Yes, it may have been a temporary solution for Iraq during the sanctioned time. But not any longer. Those days are over.
This process has to change and the dinar has to get off this sole de facto peg to the U.S. dollar. This is the solution!
That is the only way out of this mess in Iraq. Just look at the parallel market and this is a very good example as to why the dinar must get off this sole peg.
They must go to a “basket of currencies” of developed countries as the IMF and the World Bank recommended for Iraq way back in 2011. In 2012-2013, the then director of the CBI, Dr Shabibi was going to revert to this basket of currencies which would have allowed the dinar to be reinstated.
Of course, his plan was first going to conduct the Project to Delete the Zeros.
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